Tuesday, April 21, 2009

The Future of Panama Retirement

I suppose you’ve been wondering what I’ve been up to lately, enjoying my Panama retirement and reading the news of the long cold winter north of here (feeling just a little of that "schadenfreude" - just a little), specifically in North America and the global economic crisis. I’m sipping my coffee, a coffee grown in Panama, on the slopes of Volcan Baru. It’s organic coffee here. They don’t use chemical pesticides for the coffee, all the weeding is done by hand. It’s a delicious, smooth coffee with a slightly nutty flavour. Mornings in Panama.

If you’re wondering about the effects of the global financial crisis in Panama, the country is actually not doing badly. I’ve been reading that the government expects economic growth and a budget surplus this year. Not like everywhere else. During the last five years in Panama, the economic growth in Panama has been positive. This prospering in Panama was assisted by the booming Panama real estate market, the profits of the Panama Canal, tourism and the booming banking business here in Panama City. However, it is expected there will be a drop in tourism to Panama as tourists cut back on their vacation spending.

The unemployment rate might be soaring in other countries such as the United States, but here in Panama, the unemployment rate was 6.5% last year. In 2004, the unemployment rate sat at 14%. So things look relatively good for Panama. The government here is experiencing a surplus for the third year consecutively – not like the other governments of other countries around the globe. I’ve been reading about this in the newspapers.

However, obviously, Panama real estate is experiencing a slump. Panama real estate was fuelled by North American and European buyers, but lately, they are not coming to Panama to purchase property because of their own declining economies. As a result, prices of real estate properties in Panama is declining. As recently as a year and a half ago, people were buying properties in Panama for $200,000 and then selling them six to 12 months later for double the price. There is now a bounty of high priced condominiums which can’t be sold because the numbers of buyers looking for Panama property is just not there currently.

There has been a decline in the number of ships passing through the Panama Canal. The Panamanian government collects tolls from the shipping that pass through. But because of the world wide recession, there are less cargo ships these days travelling through the Canal. In the meantime, Panama has been expanding the Panama Canal locks to allow larger ships to pass through. This mega project has created thousands of new jobs for Panamanians and is an investment in the future of Panama.

Another good fact is that since end of the Noriega regime in 1989, Panama has experienced peace. Peace and stability are great forces when it comes to a country prospering economically. I’ve got no time for dictators. That’s why I chose to retire in Panama.

There are still people who are suffering economically though, selling fruit on the roadside or stealing scrap metal to resell because economic prosperity has not trickled down to enough to the people who need it. Like many parts of the rest of the world, wealth sometimes remains concentrated in a few hands. The cost of food is going up as well, but this is an international problem.

Problem for all the baby boomers who had hoped to cash in their retirement funds and sell their houses is that most of their retirement funds were invested in the stock market and they lost a lot of their cash. Also, selling houses in North America is not worth it right now because you couldn’t get the price you want for your house. Most of the baby boomers have decided to put off their decision to pack up and leave and buy a house or condo in Panama till they get a better return on their investments. Getting a loan from the bank is almost out of the question.

Looks like a lot of people are waiting for the recovery.

I’m glad I decided to retire to Panama when I did. I’ve been here a few years now, speaking Spanish like a native, living in an apartment in Panama City. I’ve looked around for some Panama properties to purchase, but I’m holding out till I find the perfect spot. I want a house on the beach for my retirement in Panama and with the prices declining for Panama properties because of the lack of buyers, I’m ready.